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Super Typhoon Bavi may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Wednesday, July 8
MANILA, Philippines – Tropical cyclone Bavi with international name intensified from a typhoon to a major typhoon outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Friday evening, July 3.
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said in a Facebook post that Bavi’s sustained winds have increased to 185 kilometers per hour as of 8 p.m. on Friday, while its speed is now up to 230 kilometers per hour.
Earlier, at 3 p.m., Bavi’s sustained winds were at 150 km/h. PAGASA upgrades tropical cyclones to super typhoon status when maximum sustained winds reach at least 185 kilometers per hour.
The Japan Meteorological Agency also said late Friday that Bavi had experienced “explosive eruptions in the past 12 hours.”
Bavi was last seen 3,090 km east of Eastern Visayas at 8 p.m., moving west toward PAR at 20 km/h.
PAGASA said that the strong typhoon may enter PAR by Wednesday, July 8. Once it enters, it will be given the name of the region. India.
Although the forecast is still uncertain as Bavi is still far from the PAR, the weather bureau has warned the public that the strong typhoon may come close to Northern Luzon as it heads towards Taiwan.
Taiwan, which lies above the northern Philippine province of Batanes, is within the PAR.
Given the size and scope of Inday’s future, tropical cyclone wind signals may be raised for parts of Northern Luzon and Central Luzon even if the typhoon cannot make landfall in the Philippines.
PAGASA added that Bavi is expected to improve southwest monsoon or southwestwhich may bring heavy rain from Wednesday or Thursday, July 9. There is a possibility of flooding and landslides.
No two tropical cyclones are alike, but the possible path of Bavi and the strengthening of the southwest monsoon may be similar to that of Super Typhoon Carina (Gaemi) in July 2024. Carina made landfall in Taiwan, not the Philippines, but it still affected parts of Northern Luzon and strengthened the southwest monsoon. At that time, the southwest monsoon caused severe flooding in parts of Luzon, including Metro Manila.
The weather office advised the public to continue to monitor Bavi’s information, especially since the forecast is still subject to change. – Rappler.com
